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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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we've been talking about a sluggish economy. it is a tough environment for luxury as people trade down and start looking for bargains. joining us is susan lyne, chairman of gilt.com. she's also the former president and ceo of martha stewart living. also on set with us this morning our guest host, mellody hobson. susan thank you for joining us this morning. >> thank you. >> i checked out gilt.com and i have to say, these are great brands at great prices. >> it is. >> how do you offer some of the bargains you're offering? >> you know, we've got long relationships now, we're about five years old, with many of the top brands, and they realize this is a great way for them to sell excess inventory and everyone has excess inventory because these are event-based sales. they're quick. and consumers love them. >> i've seen you run out of stock quickly on these things. buy it now or it's gone type of situation. >> yep. >> is it a difficult environment for luxury right now? is that a fair estimation? >> our sector has had a fantastic holida
we've been talking about a sluggish economy. it is a tough environment for luxury as people trade down and start looking for bargains. joining us is susan lyne, chairman of gilt.com. she's also the former president and ceo of martha stewart living. also on set with us this morning our guest host, mellody hobson. susan thank you for joining us this morning. >> thank you. >> i checked out gilt.com and i have to say, these are great brands at great prices. >> it is. >> how...
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Jan 21, 2013
01/13
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i don't think the problem is the trajectory of the economy. i think the question is how much will these issues from washington, whether it's the debt ceiling, the sequester, the lingering uncertainty over the long-term budget picture, undermine confidence, lower the valuations of u.s. companies because people just have less confidence in the long-term trajectory. >> and jared, president obama starts his second term next week. his inauguration, of course, monday. what has he done right? the last four years, in your view? what could he have done better or has he done wrong? >> four years ago right around this time when i was a member of the administration's economics team, i was remembering the juxtaposition of great hope and expectations and the real horror of what was going on in macroeconomy. gdp contracting at 9%. i think the president came in and hit very hard and broke the back of the great recession a lot sooner than people expected. certainly the financial markets were reflated much more quickly and at less expense than people expected.
i don't think the problem is the trajectory of the economy. i think the question is how much will these issues from washington, whether it's the debt ceiling, the sequester, the lingering uncertainty over the long-term budget picture, undermine confidence, lower the valuations of u.s. companies because people just have less confidence in the long-term trajectory. >> and jared, president obama starts his second term next week. his inauguration, of course, monday. what has he done right?...
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Jan 21, 2013
01/13
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in today's global economy, fishermen from around the world watch the prices set here at tsukiji, which enables them to figure out what their catch is worth. harvard anthropology professor ted bestor understands the movement of money and tuna. >> this place is the nerve center of a global fishing industry. >> it's sort of like a wall street of fish. >> yeah, yeah, it is. it is. there's no futures market, no derivatives, but other than that, it's like the wall street of fish. >> my heavens. >> all bluefin tuna, all fresh, and all expensive. >> at 4:00 every morning, six days a week, the buyers arrive at the market's fresh tuna hall to check out what's on offer. how do the buyers know what's good and what's not so good? >> well, if you look over, you can see them rolling the tuna over on their side, looking in the belly. they're looking for the fat content. they're looking for the color of the meat. essentially, they're x-raying the fish. and then you'll see that they'll take a little piece and they'll rub it between their thumb and forefingers, and that's to get a sense of the oil conten
in today's global economy, fishermen from around the world watch the prices set here at tsukiji, which enables them to figure out what their catch is worth. harvard anthropology professor ted bestor understands the movement of money and tuna. >> this place is the nerve center of a global fishing industry. >> it's sort of like a wall street of fish. >> yeah, yeah, it is. it is. there's no futures market, no derivatives, but other than that, it's like the wall street of fish....
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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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there's still too much uncertainty, and there needs to be more clarify for the economy to take off. >> a really important point because i think businesses are, you know, shaping up and are currently in great shape in terms of cash on balance sheets. >> terrific. >> so they have the potential to put money to work, although that uncertainty factor is really keeping them from doing so. >> in fact, corporate balance sheets have never been better. liquidity, cash, we've grown 300 billion in core deposits in four years. you know, consumer balance sheets. even though the debt hasn't come down that much because interest rates are so low, the interest carries. the debt service is back to 1998 or 1990 so there's great capacity to invest, to hire, to grow, to buy things, but this uncertainty thing puts a real cloud on things otherwise people would do. they are putting them in abeyance. >> i'm going to get back to that. a real issue. want to get your take on solutions, but you mentioned interest rates and this low interest rate environment. you're putting your bet on growing net interest income.
there's still too much uncertainty, and there needs to be more clarify for the economy to take off. >> a really important point because i think businesses are, you know, shaping up and are currently in great shape in terms of cash on balance sheets. >> terrific. >> so they have the potential to put money to work, although that uncertainty factor is really keeping them from doing so. >> in fact, corporate balance sheets have never been better. liquidity, cash, we've grown...
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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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how will it affect the economy? we will hear from the man managing your money. also, ebay tells us how the company is cashing in on the red-hot transit after the company turns in their best earnings report ever. >>> and last but not least a rare and explosive interview with wells fargo chairman and ceo telling us us about another mortgage decline. we will see you in the last hour of the trading day. mandy, see you then. >> indeed we will. >>> looking like a tough quarter. john has three important numbers in this report. what are those three? >> with $13.6 mill billion, plus or minus a half billion. and so here are my three numberes. one, pc client group revenues. intel had 8.6 million in revenue. that group overall, expecting to be a little higher in q4 and that has to come from pcs or servers. pc sales are down 4.9% from last year. if that's right, you got to hope servers deliver big for intel. two full year gross margin guidance, with capex spending and particularly important now because of how demand shifts in the pc market. his intel plans running below capa
how will it affect the economy? we will hear from the man managing your money. also, ebay tells us how the company is cashing in on the red-hot transit after the company turns in their best earnings report ever. >>> and last but not least a rare and explosive interview with wells fargo chairman and ceo telling us us about another mortgage decline. we will see you in the last hour of the trading day. mandy, see you then. >> indeed we will. >>> looking like a tough...
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Jan 17, 2013
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you've got a slowdown in the global economy. do you still think we're going to see money moving into equities despite some of these challenges knowing that that's exactly what we saw at year end anyway? do you think that it continues? >> well, there's no question. unfortunately, there's continued uncertainty around washington and the actions of washington. i don't believe that we're going to see a continued slowdown in the global economy though. you know, the movement, what you're seeing in japan and the japanese stock market starting to reflect that, you're -- you know, you have the japanese government trying to really reboot that economy. you're seeing the chinese government and the new leadership trying to reboot their economy, so, if any, you're going to see probably an accelerated economy n.parts of the world i still think we'll have structural problems in europe and all the uncertainty about the united states so i don't believe it's going to be as bad as it sounds. the u.s. certainly may, but i actually think what's going
you've got a slowdown in the global economy. do you still think we're going to see money moving into equities despite some of these challenges knowing that that's exactly what we saw at year end anyway? do you think that it continues? >> well, there's no question. unfortunately, there's continued uncertainty around washington and the actions of washington. i don't believe that we're going to see a continued slowdown in the global economy though. you know, the movement, what you're seeing...
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Jan 16, 2013
01/13
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the economy will be picking up. housing likely to get in on it. >> maybe we're actually breaking -- maybe the valuations aren't -- >> based on what? >> come on, under wells fargo? >> michael dell, and suddenly, mr. skeptic -- >> overheated debt market, that's always a good sign for an economy. that's always a sign that things are getting a lot better. >> it's been getting overheated since 1979. >> big lbos. that worked out real well. no, i'm just -- there's housing, sales of pickups. sales of cars in europe for 2012, not so good. we'll talk about that. >> germany, the bmw sales, volkswagen sales. one of my cousins in mexico is near a bmw, new plant. the germans are down. they're buying like crazy. germany business, good. rest of the continent okay. ford cutting back very dramatically. >> boeing, more problems related to the dreamliner. japanese grounded their 787 for safety checks. the national transportation safety board, faa are going to japan to assess that incident. when the first problems arose last week, week
the economy will be picking up. housing likely to get in on it. >> maybe we're actually breaking -- maybe the valuations aren't -- >> based on what? >> come on, under wells fargo? >> michael dell, and suddenly, mr. skeptic -- >> overheated debt market, that's always a good sign for an economy. that's always a sign that things are getting a lot better. >> it's been getting overheated since 1979. >> big lbos. that worked out real well. no, i'm just --...
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Jan 18, 2013
01/13
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so our economy is robust. the oil and gas sector has been doing great. car sales have been doing great. we never had a sub prime problem. so housing starts are back up again to about 75,000 single family permits issued. the main thing is capital will flee a hostile environment. if i were a risk taking entrepreneur in california i would be thinking about heading east to texas. >> i feel a bit dumb because i had no idea of the export power of texas. i probably would have picked california. we'll show a table and what this table says is texas 2011 exports, $251 billion in second place california at $159 billion. that is very impressive. hears what i like the most. go to the next table. it is easy. when i first heard it i said it's obvious because california doesn't maximize natural resources because of the green component. has such a large lobby and presence in california. even if you extract all the exports petroleum and coal products that still leaves you around 200 billion. you're still blowing the competition away. >> yep. isn't that nice? we also have
so our economy is robust. the oil and gas sector has been doing great. car sales have been doing great. we never had a sub prime problem. so housing starts are back up again to about 75,000 single family permits issued. the main thing is capital will flee a hostile environment. if i were a risk taking entrepreneur in california i would be thinking about heading east to texas. >> i feel a bit dumb because i had no idea of the export power of texas. i probably would have picked california....
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Jan 19, 2013
01/13
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and they're going to be reflective of a loan environment that's commensurate with a 2% to 3% growth economy. given that we think we'll get our fair share, we'll put some very profitable relationships long-term high-quality relationships on the balance sheet, and at the end of the -- this cycle, we're going to feel very, very good about how our customer business is structured and what that means for long returns. >> bryan, i've got to tell you, this group is going to get hot. i know it has to. and bryan's the chairman, president, and ceo of first horizon national. thank you so much, sir, for coming on the show. >> thank you, jim. thanks for having me. >> we still don't have the confidence. and that's really hurting a lot of the lending in this country. well, look, we get it, these stocks are going to rocket. let's put it that way. fhn, good stock, stay with cramer. >>> coming up -- sweet speck? cramer's got a sweet tooth tonight, and he's hungry for a scrumptious speck. chocolate sprinkles or covered in cream, could this confectionery delight stock make you salivate? stick around to find out
and they're going to be reflective of a loan environment that's commensurate with a 2% to 3% growth economy. given that we think we'll get our fair share, we'll put some very profitable relationships long-term high-quality relationships on the balance sheet, and at the end of the -- this cycle, we're going to feel very, very good about how our customer business is structured and what that means for long returns. >> bryan, i've got to tell you, this group is going to get hot. i know it has...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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the fed is spending 6% more m-2 every year and that's helping the economy. but the real driver of growth is technology. it's the entrepreneur. it's the innovator. it's the creator. we have the cloud, the spark phone, attacking all of these great new technologies and that's what i try to draw investors' focus on. let's not pay so much attention to what government is doing. let's look at what is causing growth underneath, what has always caused growth and that's entrepreneurial activity, innovation, and activity. we have a lot of it going on right now. >> finally, brian, housing is turning into a pretty nice tail wind here. i wonder, though, you see the ten-year at 285. >> right. >> how much can the market withstand if the 30-year mortgage continues to tick up? >> when we go back to the early 1990s when housing was pretty strong, interest rates were a lot higher than they were today. i think the fed is artificially holding rates down. we could have the federal funds rate at 2, 2 1/2 without any harm to the economy. we could take the ten-year treasury up to 3,
the fed is spending 6% more m-2 every year and that's helping the economy. but the real driver of growth is technology. it's the entrepreneur. it's the innovator. it's the creator. we have the cloud, the spark phone, attacking all of these great new technologies and that's what i try to draw investors' focus on. let's not pay so much attention to what government is doing. let's look at what is causing growth underneath, what has always caused growth and that's entrepreneurial activity,...
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Jan 21, 2013
01/13
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it's been hard on them and the economy, but we found an experiment in retraining... [paper tears] >> the resume, very soon, will become an obsolete tool in the job-search process. >> that may just offer a way back. you just got a new job. >> yes, i did. brings a smile to my face. >> i see that. >> welcome to 60 minutes on cnbc. i'm bob simon. in this edition, we look at two innovative experiments in the housing and job markets aimed at solving long-term problems caused by the great recession. and later on, we examine the impact on brevard county, florida, of scuttling the space shuttle program. we begin with the housing industry. chances are the home you're in isn't worth what it used to be. you may not have indulged in the real estate bubble with its liars' loans and wall street greed, but you were stuck with the bill. and if you thought your home value couldn't drop any more, have a look up and down the block. you might say, "there goes the neighborhood." one of the threats from the great recession was the sudden surge in the number of abandoned houses. as scott pe
it's been hard on them and the economy, but we found an experiment in retraining... [paper tears] >> the resume, very soon, will become an obsolete tool in the job-search process. >> that may just offer a way back. you just got a new job. >> yes, i did. brings a smile to my face. >> i see that. >> welcome to 60 minutes on cnbc. i'm bob simon. in this edition, we look at two innovative experiments in the housing and job markets aimed at solving long-term problems...
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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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the economy is morrow less back on track. we think there would be more proactive fiscal policies to come action but most of those announcements will come likely in march. >> the new government has made several nods towards urbanization, so we've seen material stocks go higher. investors like to think of china in the growth sector. is that where you see some of the best opportunities at this point? >> we do see a lot of those sectors did run up after the urbanization push and all of the news media coverage around it. we see more details on the exact urbanization probably in march or april, but at this point i think there's numerous ways to go. the obvious interpretation is more infrastructure investment, but other than the, premier to be has been very focused on the social safety net issues as well, saying he needs to migrate more people into the urban areas. you need to provide better health care and better social housing, so don'tunder estimate what we might see. >> another long-term issue is basic manufacturing is starting
the economy is morrow less back on track. we think there would be more proactive fiscal policies to come action but most of those announcements will come likely in march. >> the new government has made several nods towards urbanization, so we've seen material stocks go higher. investors like to think of china in the growth sector. is that where you see some of the best opportunities at this point? >> we do see a lot of those sectors did run up after the urbanization push and all of...